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How
Does It Works
Using
fundamental and technical analyses, the individual trader
can realize huge profit potential by buying or selling a specific
currency against the U.S. Dollar or other major currencies.
The most often traded currencies, the major currencies, are
those of countries with stable governments and respected central
banks that target low inflation. Currencies that often trade
along with the U.S. Dollar include the Japanese Yen, the British
Pound, the Swiss Franc and now the new European currency -
Euro are therefore the most liquid, unlike "exotic"
currencies which are often tightly regulated and simply too
illiquid. Countries suffering political instability or economic
turmoil, and who use monetary expansion to fuel the economy
or monetary devaluation to increase exports, usually have
relatively higher inflation and weaker currencies.
Traders
can generate profits whether a currency is rising or falling
by buying one currency (which is anticipated to gain value)
against another currency or selling one currency (which is
anticipated to lose value) against another currency. Taking
a long position is one in which a trader buys a currency at
one price and aims to sell it later at a higher price. Alternatively,
a short position is one in which the trader sells a currency
that he anticipates to depreciate and aims to buy the currency
back later at a lower price. Buying or selling currencies
in response to economic or political events which occur are
reactive, whereas buying or selling currencies on anticipated
events is speculative. The bulk of currency activity is generated
by market participants anticipating the direction of currency
prices. In general, the value of a currency versus other currencies
is a reflection of the condition of that country's economy
with respect to the other major economies.
Foreign
exchange is a continuous global market, providing participants
with 24-hour market access. The only breaks in trading occur
during a brief period over the weekend. Although foreign exchange
is the most liquid of all markets, the fact that it is an
international market and trading 24-hours a day, the time
of day can have a direct impact on the liquidity available
for trading a particular currency. The major dealer centers
and time zones are that of Sydney, Tokyo, London, and New
York. Therefore, traders must consider which players are in
the market, since in the modern interconnected financial world,
events that occur at any hour, in any part of the globe, can
affect some or all parts of the investment community. In addition,
although trading in the "spot" market, the difference
in time zones accounts for a two-day settlement period. The
24-hour nature of the foreign exchange market is a substantial
attraction to many of its participants.
A
proficient trader employs both technical and fundamental analyses
prior to entering any trades. Fundamentals include watching
the world news, and particularly studying variables that may
cause the market price of a currency to fluctuate, including
monetary and fiscal policy, political conditions, trade patterns,
economic indicators (i.e. GDP, CPI, PPI), interest rates,
inflation and unemployment numbers. Faith in a government's
ability to stand behind its currency also impacts currency
price. From time to time, central banks use intervention as
an effective method of enforcing market adherence to their
desired exchange rate comfort zones. Technical analysis, which
has grown dramatically in popularity in the foreign exchange
market since the 1980's, involves computer charting, using
trend lines, support and resistance levels, reversals, and
numerous patterns and analyses to study the behavior patterns
of market crowds to track and identify buying and selling
opportunities. Over long historical periods, currencies have
displayed identifiable trends and patterns which provide investors
with profitable opportunities.
It
is the trader's option to take either a conservative or a
more risk-taking approach. Employing conservative approach,
the trader establishes and liquidates positions quickly and
efficiently to capitalize on even the slightest of price fluctuations,
using limit and stop orders to manage risk. A limit order
is placed to ensure a position is established once a price
level in the market has been reached. A stop order is placed
to automatically liquidate a position at a chosen price level
in order to limit potential loss on a particular trade. By
placing orders in relation to technical support and resistance
levels, trader may profit incrementally from the minor price
fluctuations that occur each day.
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